Well, if you take a look at the lebanese forces blogs, some of them are asking Hezbollah to bring it on. Ironically, Aoun's people revealed to dominate the Christian street.
So what is going on? Israeli planes flew close couple of days ago and Nasrallah attacked the government for not achieving the national unity issue. Khaled Hdaidi, general secretary of the Lebanese Communist Party, calls for a unified front while the legendary artist after him gives a stalinist speech whereby there is no party but THE party.
Isreal claims that they support the Seniora government but still proceed with all the breaches of the UN resolution 1701. What they do not know (or do they!!) that whenever they do a breach, they are empowering Hezbollah against the 14th of March block. A close eye would reveal that Israel does not want peace with Lebanon even though they ask for it. They always play on the double standard criteria. They attack someone while at the same time demand peace. Hence, they achieve their targets to achieve destruction while in the same time they recieve global sympathy.
Technically, they want a puppet government like they attempted to achieve back in 1982 when they tried to install Bashir Gemayel and all hell broke loose for them. A Seniora government wants to intigrate Lebanon within the WTO and establish close ties with the EU. Israel's problem with that issue is the fact it can't take its freedom like it usually does on daily basis to take tours, as well as the other fact which means the presence of the two Hezbollah ministers and three of their allies. Whatever Seniora does, this gives legitimacy to Hezbollah of which only two nations oppose its legality: USA and Israel.
When Nasrallah failed to pressure Seniora to establish a National Unity Government (due to the fact that the nation is divided politically between 8th and 14th of March) and bring his ally General Aoun, he is escalating things, specially Israel's low IAF planes taking tours strengthened the Hezbollah block. Again, a person wonders do they really want Hezbollah out?
Bush says: ""Any attempt to destabilize Lebanon's democratically elected government through such tactics as manufactured demonstrations and violence, or by physically threatening its leaders, would, at the very least, be a clear violation of Lebanon's sovereignty" and UN resolutions, he said." (link)
Bush from the overseas does the same mistake of Israel. He argues that his administration supports diplomatically, economically, and politically the Seniora government. He also adds if Hezbollah goes to the street to topple down the Seniora government, that is a breach of Lebanese Soverneignty. This is ironic because it won't be only Hezbollah hitting the streets but their allies as well which will include two Christian parties that are the Marada and the Christian dominant party: The Free Patriotic Movement. Hence, Bush is intervening with democracy and the right of people to choose their own fate (something he seems to revise from the reactionary Woodrow Wilson). This statement as well weakens the 14th of March block as well, just as three weeks ago Rice toured the gulf to get support to Seniora's government.
Olmert yesterday declared that as long as Hezbollah has arms, his airplanes will continue to "tour" Lebanon. Again, this explains why probably Olmert wants Hezbollah stronger. Prime Minister Seniora clearly stated that there will be no peace with Israel no matter what happens (although not sure about his allies or even himself how much he meant it). This leads to the fact that Olmert prefers war to peace in a country that is next to his boarder.
There is another scenario for this love-hate relationship as well. Bush and Olmert would keep to pressure the Lebanese internal affairs. Bush argued that he hates anyone who intervenes in Lebanese affairs without noticing that he himself is doing so by setting a criteria who is allowed to hit the streets and who isn't in Lebanon. Hence, he and Olmert think that the more killing takes place (something Bush practiced in Iraq and Afghanistan) of the people by their army, eventually the people would toss Hezbollah in the streets. Bush does not realize that it is not only Hezbollah present in the scene as there are a huge faction of allies supporting the group: whether Christian, Sunni, or even Secular (such stalinist Lebanese Communist Party). Actually the presence of the LCP mocks the allegations of Olmert that Hezbollah is like Bin Laden's group: terrorists. al-Qa'eda and the stalinist Moscow battled for years in Afghanistan, while Hezbollah consider el-Qa'eda a disgrace to Islam (not to forget al-Zarqawi threatening Hezbollah).
Funny thing, Olmert and the United States do not even negotiate with Hezbollah directly because they are "terrorists". Hezbollah did couple of operations two decades ago, well yes, but that was it. The United States and Israel has done massacres without being held accountable. In any case seems the UNIFIL do not think they are terrorists as Nasrallah said: "Many countries taking part in UNIFIL contacted Hizbullah beforehand to get guarantees and we gave them the guarantees they needed," he added." (Just as long as they do not perform their mission under Section 7)
I want to be clear that I am not Pro-Hezbollah, on the contrary, I had my share as a Marxist against Hezbollah, but so I did from the others (the other block). I have been in demonstrations against Israel and Syria because each is doing wrong one way or the other. However, Israel is the more terrorist than Syria since it carries the biggest massacres not only in Lebanon or Palestine, but in the entire region. Let me put it this way, Israel through out the ages has done more crimes than Saddam Hussein himself (another ex-US puppy in face of Iran just like al-Qa'eda in face of the stalinist USSR).
Monday is coming, Nasrallah raised the stakes. Some 14th of Marchers (check out few blogs regarding the issue) think that they can already handle not only Hezbollah but the entire faction. Come to think of it, I understand the hatred from 14th of March to 8th of March (due to assasinations, and the dictatorship of the Syrian Mandate also given as a present to Lebanon from the USA back in 1990 in return of Syria's support in the first Gulf War). Plenty of the 8th of March have been Syrian loyalists, but so were half the 14th of Marchers: whether el-Murr, Junblatt, or even the Future Movement of al-Harriri. When interests collided, then both blocks call for freedom. Due to the assasinations, 14th of March think they can seek revenge on Damascus. The United States and Israel think Lebanon is the key to subdue the dictatorship regime of Syria. Monday is coming soon, what will happen next and will Olmert and Bush keep strengthening Hezbollah?